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U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 13.6 million SAAR in November, Highest since Aug 2009

CalculatedRisk @ December 1, 2011 # Comments Off

Based on an estimate from Autodata Corp, light vehicle sales were at a 13.63 million SAAR in November. That is up 11.4% from November 2010, and up 3.1% from the sales rate last month (13.22 million SAAR in Oct 2011).

This was above the consensus forec…

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Schedule for Week of Nov 27th

CalculatedRisk @ November 26, 2011 # Comments Off

Earlier:
• Summary for Week Ending Nov 25th

The key report this week will be the employment situation report for November on Friday. Other key reports include the November ISM manufacturing index on Thursday, auto sales also on Thursday, and two im…

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Misc: Kansas City Fed manufacturing index shows sluggish growth, Auto sales expected to increase

CalculatedRisk @ November 23, 2011 # Comments Off

Although there are significant downside risks from the European financial crisis and additional fiscal tightening in early 2012, right now the U.S. data suggests continued sluggish growth …

• From the Kansas City Fed: Growth in Manufacturing Activ…

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The recovery in U.S. Heavy Truck Sales, and a forecast for November Auto Sales

CalculatedRisk @ November 18, 2011 # Comments Off

Another bright spot for the economy has been the recovery in heavy truck sales (see graph below).

First, here is an early forecast for November light vehicle sales from J.D. Power and Associates:
November new-vehicle retail sales are projected to com…

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Research: How Household Debt Contributes to Unemployment

CalculatedRisk @ November 17, 2011 # Comments Off

Professors Amir Sufi and Atif Mian use county level data to show that household balance sheet problems are directly linked to the high level of unemployment. It is important for policy to understand the reasons unemployment has remained elevated.

F…

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Retail Sales increased 0.5% in October

CalculatedRisk @ November 15, 2011 # Comments Off

On a monthly basis, retail sales were up 0.5% from September to October (seasonally adjusted, after revisions), and sales were up 7.9% from October 2010. From the Census Bureau report:
The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U….

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Fed: Banks Tighten Lending Standards to Banks and Firms with European Exposures

CalculatedRisk @ November 7, 2011 # Comments Off

The Federal Reserve released the quarterly October 2011 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices today. The survey had a special question on lending to European banks and firms. With regards to banks, the tightening was “considera…

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U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 13.26 million SAAR in October, Highest since Aug 2009

CalculatedRisk @ November 1, 2011 # Comments Off

Based on an estimate from Autodata Corp, light vehicle sales were at a 13.26 million SAAR in October. That is up 9.2% from October 2010, and up 1.7% from the sales rate last month (13.04 million SAAR in Sept 2011).

This was slightly above the consensu…

More on page 9327

Preliminary Vehicle Sales for October

CalculatedRisk @ November 1, 2011 # Comments Off

Note: DJ is quoting an unnamed Greek official saying the referendum is “basically dead”.

The early auto sales reports are a little mixed, but it appears sales will be over 13 million SAAR (the consensus is for 13.2 million SAAR). The high for the y…

More on page 9324

Schedule for Week of Oct 30th

CalculatedRisk @ October 29, 2011 # Comments Off

Earlier:
• Summary for Week ending Oct 28th

The key report this week will be the employment situation report for October on Friday. Also the FOMC statement and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s press briefing on Wednesday, will be closely watched.

Other…

More on page 9298