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Europe: Hints of a Deal

CalculatedRisk @ December 2, 2011 # Comments Off

From the Financial Times: Shape of last-ditch eurozone deal emerges

The deal involves bilateral fiscal agreements – and then possibly the ECB getting more involved.

From the WSJ: A Euro Crisis Deal EmergesEuropean Central Bank President Mario Draghi…

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U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 13.6 million SAAR in November, Highest since Aug 2009

CalculatedRisk @ December 1, 2011 # Comments Off

Based on an estimate from Autodata Corp, light vehicle sales were at a 13.63 million SAAR in November. That is up 11.4% from November 2010, and up 3.1% from the sales rate last month (13.22 million SAAR in Oct 2011).

This was above the consensus forec…

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New Home Sales in October: 307,000 SAAR

CalculatedRisk @ November 28, 2011 # Comments Off

The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in October were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 307 thousand. This was up from a revised 303 thousand in September (revised down from 313 thousand).

The first graph shows New Home Sales vs. reces…

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Summary for Week Ending Nov 25th

CalculatedRisk @ November 26, 2011 # Comments Off

It was a short holiday week, but the key story remained the same: the European situation continues to deteriorate as European policymakers fiddle. Europe continues to overshadow the U.S. economic situation and the European financial crisis continues t…

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Misc: Kansas City Fed manufacturing index shows sluggish growth, Auto sales expected to increase

CalculatedRisk @ November 23, 2011 # Comments Off

Although there are significant downside risks from the European financial crisis and additional fiscal tightening in early 2012, right now the U.S. data suggests continued sluggish growth …

• From the Kansas City Fed: Growth in Manufacturing Activ…

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WSJ: BofA warned by regulators

CalculatedRisk @ November 22, 2011 # Comments Off

From the WSJ: BofA Warned to Get StrongerBank of America Corp.’s board has been told that the company could face a public enforcement action if regulators aren’t satisfied with recent steps taken to strengthen the bank … The nation’s second-largest l…

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Housekeeping: New CR iPad Layout

CalculatedRisk @ November 22, 2011 # Comments Off

Just a quick note – for anyone accessing Calculatedriskblog via an iPad, I’m trying out some new software with a customized tablet layout. I’ll be adding smart phone software soon …

Earlier:
• Existing Home Sales in October: 4.97 million SAAR, 8….

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Moody’s: Commercial Real Estate Prices declined 1.4% in September

CalculatedRisk @ November 21, 2011 # Comments Off

From Dow Jones: Moody’s: Commercial Real-Estate Prices Fell In September
U.S. commercial real-estate prices fell 1.4% in September, ending a four-month growth streak … Moody’s expects “multi-family and hotel properties to lead the price recovery,” sa…

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DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven declined 1.5% in September

CalculatedRisk @ November 21, 2011 # Comments Off

The Department of Transportation (DOT) reported:
• Travel on all roads and streets changed by -1.5% (-3.7 billion vehicle miles) for September 2011 as compared with September 2010.

• Travel for the month is estimated to be 244.2 billion vehicle mi…

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Existing Home Sales: More on Inventory and NSA Sales Graph

CalculatedRisk @ November 21, 2011 # Comments Off

Yesterday I discussed the expected downward revisions to the NAR estimates for sales and inventory. The NAR didn’t provide any update on the benchmark revision process in the release today. I expect sales and inventory estimates to be revised down by…

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