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Sunday Night Futures

CalculatedRisk @ December 12, 2011 # Comments Off

A depressing column from Paul Krugman at the NY Times: Depression and DemocracyLet’s talk, in particular, about what’s happening in Europe — not because all is well with America, but because the gravity of European political developments isn’t …

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FOMC Preview: No Changes Expected

CalculatedRisk @ December 11, 2011 # Comments Off

There will be a one day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on Tuesday, December 13th. The FOMC statement will be released around 2:15 PM ET on Tuesday.

Although there are several topics currently being discussed – such as adding a pr…

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Schedule for Week of Dec 11th

CalculatedRisk @ December 11, 2011 # Comments Off

Earlier:
• Summary for Week ending Dec 9th

Retail sales for November is the key report this week. For manufacturing, the December NY Fed (Empire state) and Philly Fed surveys, and the November Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization report w…

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Summary for Week ending Dec 9th

CalculatedRisk @ December 10, 2011 # Comments Off

This was a light week for economic data and most of the focus was on Europe.

The good news included fewer initial weekly unemployment claims, an increase in consumer sentiment and an increase in rail traffic. However the ISM non-manufacturing index w…

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Consumer Sentiment increases in December

CalculatedRisk @ December 9, 2011 # Comments Off

The preliminary December Reuters / University of Michigan consumer sentiment index increased to 67.7, (typo corrected) up from the November reading of 64.1.

Click on graph for larger image.

Consumer sentiment is usually impacted by employment (and…

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 381,000

CalculatedRisk @ December 8, 2011 # Comments Off

The DOL reports:
In the week ending December 3, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 381,000, a decrease of 23,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 404,000. The 4-week moving average was 393,250, a decrease of 3,000 f…

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Fed’s Evans on "Forward Guidance"

CalculatedRisk @ December 5, 2011 # Comments Off

Over the weekend, the WSJ had an article about a new communication strategy at the Fed: Federal Reserve Prepares to Make Itself Perfectly Clear

Here are some related comments from Chicago Fed president Charles Evans today: A Risk Management Approach t…

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WSJ: New Fed Communication Strategy

CalculatedRisk @ December 5, 2011 # Comments Off

From Jon Hilsenrath and Luca Di Leo at the WSJ: Federal Reserve Prepares to Make Itself Perfectly ClearThe Fed has been working on revamping its communication strategy for months. … Informally, the Fed already has made clear it wants the annual infla…

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Schedule for Week of Dec 4th

CalculatedRisk @ December 3, 2011 # Comments Off

Earlier:
• Summary for Week ending Dec 2nd

European policymakers are meeting again this week, and an announcement of additional measures is expected by Friday, December 9th.

This will be a light week for economic releases. The key economic release…

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Seasonal Retail Hiring, Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes

CalculatedRisk @ December 2, 2011 # Comments Off

Here are the earlier employment posts:
• November Employment Report: 120,000 Jobs, 8.6% Unemployment Rate
• Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
• NEW Employment graph gallery (fast, no scripting)

And a few more gr…

More on page 9717